Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.028106 0.030775 0.033415 0.036217 0.039101 0.041980 0.045064
2024-12-29 0.022666 0.026954 0.031313 0.036052 0.041033 0.046094 0.051605
2025-01-05 0.018689 0.024006 0.029547 0.035688 0.042247 0.049000 0.056436
2025-01-12 0.015487 0.021499 0.027917 0.035154 0.042990 0.051143 0.060199
2025-01-19 0.012280 0.018688 0.025713 0.033781 0.042636 0.051942 0.062363
2025-01-26 0.010992 0.017911 0.025644 0.034633 0.044584 0.055108 0.066950
2025-02-02 0.009419 0.016663 0.024941 0.034693 0.045587 0.057182 0.070291
2025-02-09 0.007532 0.014881 0.023518 0.033857 0.045526 0.058035 0.072253
2025-02-16 0.006456 0.014011 0.023094 0.034097 0.046609 0.060090 0.075467
2025-02-23 0.005338 0.012984 0.022421 0.034001 0.047274 0.061646 0.078103
2025-03-02 0.004253 0.011892 0.021609 0.033698 0.047665 0.062868 0.080338
2025-03-09 0.003474 0.011145 0.021176 0.033801 0.048486 0.064537 0.083036
2025-03-16 0.002245 0.009652 0.019868 0.032990 0.048423 0.065404 0.085067
2025-03-23 0.001415 0.008632 0.019141 0.032889 0.049209 0.067267 0.088255
2025-03-30 0.000697 0.007546 0.018252 0.032547 0.049685 0.068759 0.091013
2025-04-06 0.000177 0.006454 0.017267 0.032032 0.049920 0.069946 0.093401
2025-04-13 NaN 0.005035 0.015688 0.030707 0.049154 0.069962 0.094450
2025-04-20 NaN 0.004803 0.015822 0.031529 0.050910 0.072823 0.098651
2025-04-27 NaN 0.004227 0.015381 0.031587 0.051734 0.074603 0.101624
2025-05-04 NaN 0.003312 0.014307 0.030780 0.051492 0.075140 0.103182
2025-05-11 NaN 0.002918 0.014042 0.031012 0.052483 0.077075 0.106292
2025-05-18 NaN 0.002428 0.013552 0.030919 0.053063 0.078521 0.108836
2025-05-25 NaN 0.001911 0.012934 0.030627 0.053380 0.079648 0.111005